IST - Probability and Statistics (2023)

Speakers and Syllabus


Syllabus:

Sr. Name of the speaker and Affiliation
Topic of lectures Number of lectures
1

B V Rao

CMI, Chennai

Probability I: Random experiment, probability space, finite sample spaces. Conditional probability, Bayes theorem, independence.

Real random variables (discrete and continuous), cumulative distribution function, probability mass/density functions, mathematical expectation, moments, moment generating function, characteristic function. Discrete distributions : uniform, binomial, Poisson, geometric, negative binomial, Continuous distributions : uniform, normal, exponential.

12 lectures
2

Mousumi Bose

ISI, Kolkata

Statistics I: Sampling and Sampling Distributions : Populations and Samples, Random Sample, distribution of the sample, Simple random sampling with and without replacement. Sample characteristics.

Sampling Distributions : Statictic, Sample moments. Sample variance, Sampling from the normal distributions, Chi-square, t and F-distributions

Estimation of parameters : Point estimation. Interval Estimation- Confidence Intervals for mean and variance of Normal Population. Mean-squared error. Properties of good estimators - unbiasedness, consistency, sufficiency, Minimum-Variance Unbiased Estimator (MVUE).

Method of Maximum likelihood : likelihood function, ML estimators for discrete and continuous models.

12 lectures
3

Alok Goswami

Indian Association for the Cultivation of Science, Kolkata

Probability II: Joint cumulative distribution function and its properties, joint probability density functions, marginal and conditional distributions, expectation of function of two random variables, moments, covariance, correlation coefficient, independent random variables, joint moment generating function (jmgf) and calculation of covariance from jmgf, characteristic function. Conditional expectations, linear regression for two variables, regression curves. Bivariate normal distribution.

Markov and Chebyshev’s inequality, Convergence in Probability, statement and interpretation of weak law of large numbers and strong law of large numbers. Central limit theorem for independent and identically distributed random variables with finite variance.

12 lectures
4

Arnab Chakraborty

ISI, Kolkata

Statistics II: Statistical hypothesis : Simple and composite hypotheses, null hypotheses, alternative hypotheses, one- sided and two-sided hypotheses. The critical region and test statistic, type I error and type II error, level of significance. Power function of a test, most powerful test. The p-value (observed level of significance), Calculating p-values.

Simple hypothesis versus simple alternative : Neyman-Pearson lemma (Statement only). Bivariate frequency Distribution : Bivariate data, Scatter diagram, Correlation, Linear Regression, principle of least squares and fitting of polynomials and exponential curves.

12 lectures

References:

  1. William Feller, An introduction to Probability Theory and its Application, Volume 1, 3e.
  2. Robert V. Hogg, Joseph W. McKean and Allen T. Craig, Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Pearson Education, Asia, 2007.
  3. Irwin Miller and Marylees Miller, John E. Freund, Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th Ed., Pearson Education, Asia, 2006.
  4. Sheldon Ross, Introduction to Probability Models, 9th Ed., Academic Press, Indian Reprint, 2007.
  5. Alexander M. Mood, Franklin A. Graybill and Duane C. Boes, Introduction to the Theory of Statistics, 3rd Ed., Tata McGraw- Hill, Reprint 2007

 


Time Table

Day Date

Lecture
1 & 2

9.00
to
11.00

Tea11.05
to
11.25

Tutorial

11.30
to
12.30

Lunch
12.30
to
2.25

Lecture
3 & 4

2.30
to
4.30

Tea

4.35
to
4.55

Tutorial

5.00
to
6.00

 6.05
to
6.30
    name of the speaker   name of the speaker
+
tutors
  name of the speaker    name of the speaker
+
tutors
 
Mon W
e
e
k

1

BVR   BVR & MB   MB   MB & BVR S
n
a
c
k
s
Tues BVR   BVR & MB   MB   MB & BVR
Wed BVR   BVR & MB   MB   MB & BVR
Thu BVR   BVR & MB   MB   MB & BVR
Fri BVR   BVR & MB   MB   MB & BVR
Sat BVR   BVR & MB   MB   MB & BVR
SUNDAY : OFF
Mon W
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e
k

2

AG   AG & AC   AC   AC & AG S
n
a
c
k
s
Tues AG   AG & AC   AC   AC & AG
Wed AG   AG & AC   AC   AC & AG
Thu AG   AG & AC   AC   AC & AG
Fri AG   AG & AC   AC   AC & AG
Sat AG   AG & AC   AC   AC & AG

 

  • BVR: B V Rao
  • AG: Alok Goswami
  • MB: Mousumi Bose
  • AC: Arnab Chakrabort
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